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The Obligatory Predictions Competition - Week 8

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1. INDIANA at NORTHWESTERN, 12:00 p.m. EST (10/24), Big Ten Network

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts NORTHWESTERN by 7

Wildcat mania has taken a backseat to the overall mediocrity of this Northwestern team. Mike Kafka has done everything he’s been asked to do, but the 34-47, 290 yard performances aren’t leading to any points. With all that said, the Wildcats defense has vastly improved and Vegas (NW -6) seems to believe Ryan Field will be friendly to Pat Fitzgerald this weekend. I’m trusting Vegas here in a close one

LAW BUCKEYE predicts NORTHWESTERN by 7

From a motivational standpoint this could be the best game of the week.  Both Indiana and Northwestern need two wins to become bowl eligible and both Indiana and Northwestern only have two "winnable" games left on their schedule.  Would you be surprised if I told you that Saturday was one of them?  I believe the winner of this game will go bowling and the loser will stay home.  Everything else being equal, I like the Wildcats to slow down the pistol offense.  Mike Kafka and Zeke Markshausen can take over from there.  Still, don't expect anyone to lay down and die with the season on the line.


2. ILLINOIS at PURDUE, 12:00 p.m. EST (10/24), ESPN 2

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts PURDUE by 14

At the beginning of this season, this reads "blowout, Illinois." Now? I don’t think any readers will pick Illinois on the road. And I’m inclined to agree at first glance. My defining factor is confined to Illinois’ inability to play a complete game. 400 yards of total offense against Indiana…led to 14 Illini points. A great defensive gameplan against Mizzou…helped hold the Tigers to 37 points when the defense wore out under the offensive’s immense ineptitude.

Things working in Purdue’s favor – Cohesive passing offense and three legitimate playmaking wide receivers (Carlos, Smith, Valentin)…Home crowd freshly excited from rushing the field against Ohio State…Playing against Juice Williams…

LAW BUCKEYE predicts PURDUE by 10

Picking the Illini to beat Indiana last week was my last olive branch.  It's time to send the black sheep of the conferene to reform school.  Before Purdue smashed Ohio State, I called them the best 1-5 team in the history of college football.  It's finally time to call them what they are: a force on the rise.  If Purdue can win the turnover battle they take this one without breaking a sweat.  Expect Ryan Kerrigan to have another big day.

Star-divide

3. No. 13 PENN STATE at MICHIGAN, 3:30 p.m. EST (10/24), ABC

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts MICHIGAN by 7

Most of you will pick Penn State because you believe the Michigan defense is soft. Most of you believe Michigan may gash some runs early, but won’t be able to continue their success as the game wears on against Odrick and Josh Hill. Most of you believe, at least for this year, Michigan is no better than a 7-5 team which shows flashes of brilliance. Oh, and most of you think Tate Forcier is too small to survive another murderous defense akin to Penn State’s.

I’m inclined to agree with most those statements. But I think the Wolverine’s can get up for this one, plus I’m going to need some upset points, ala two weeks ago and Miami/Oklahoma. Penn State hasn’t 1) seen a spread run offense and 2) hasn’t played a team with the speed of Michigan. The Wolverines are healthy and rested – I don’t believe in this pick, but oh hell, let’s see what the Run Spread can do against the monster 4-3 of PSU.

LAW BUCKEYE predicts PENN STATE by 10

I think how you pick this one is more of a reflection on Michigan than Penn State.  Do the Wolverines -- whose September 18th 1-point triumph against then No. 18 Notre Dame seems like a long time ago -- have another upset left in the tank?  If they do, who gets the bequest?  Is it a Nittany Lion team they always seem to frustrate?  (Joe Pa hasn't won at the Big House since 1996).  Or, are they saving something special for their good buddies in the Buckeye state?  Don't get me wrong, I think Michigan's program is on the right track, but I see a statement game coming saturday for a team whose national discussion always seems to get prefaced with, "we don't really know how good they are."  Daryll Clark might be the only quarterback in the Big Ten.  A steadily improving Nittany Lion offensive line paves the way for a big day for Evan Royster.  Penn State has four receivers with 20 or more catches.  UM has none.  Clark goes to the air early and often and -- with the help of WR Derek Moye -- puts this game out of reach by the mid-point of the third quarter.


4. No. 6 IOWA at MICHIGAN STATE, 7:30 p.m. EST (10/24), Big Ten Network

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts IOWA by 10

Most important game of the weekend, no question, but that’s because every game Iowa plays while undefeated is #1 on the Big Ten’s radar. Iowa has slowed two good offenses in their home stadiums, which is exactly what they’ll do in East Lansing. Scott Tolzien was on FIRE, until he met the Iowa pass defense zone…and wilted. Same goes for the rattled Daryll Clark. Kirk Cousins is just as good as both of them and probably has better wide receivers. Vegas says pick ‘em, but it doesn’t matter. I won’t bet against this Iowa defense until I have to.

On a side note, Iowa’s wide receivers have been spectacular of late. Trey Stross made a couple Adam Decker-esque catches against Wisconsin, while DJK and Tony Moeaki made big plays in Madison and two weeks ago versus UM.

LAW BUCKEYE predicts IOWA by 14

Come on.  You know you want to pick the Spartans.  Iowa has lost the last four times they've played in East Lansing.  Michigan State has rebounded from a 1-3 start to be staring down the barrel of the Big Ten race.  Greg Jones is everywhere.  If there's one thing these Hawkeyes haven't done is win big.  I think it all clicks Saturday night under the lights as Stanzi plays smart, takes care of the football, and Tight End Tony Moeaki does the rest.  Just like that, Iowa is off to its first 8-0 start, ever.


5. No. 8 TCU at No. 16 BYU, 7:30 p.m. EST (10/24)

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts TCU by 10

Great article in SI a couple weeks ago about how TCU takes 3 star running backs and converts them to defensive players. Apparently they recruit these 200 lb athletes and add 50 lbs, then sit back and watch as these players turn into All-Americans. Not a bad idea – in fact it’s led Texas Christian to the brink of the BCS Top 8. I hitched my star to BYU this year and was rewarded with a 5 touchdown thrashing at the hands of Florida State. What does FSU and TCU have in common? Mmm speed. The Horned Frogs ran into a perfect storm last year, losing to two of the top three teams in the nation, Utah and Oklahoma. This victory in Provo will spur them closer to a BCS berth.

LAW BUCKEYE predicts TCU by 10

Want to tune in for this mid-major marathon?  Me too.  Too bad it won't be covered on network television.  The best of the Mountain West come together in Provo Saturday.  Last year the Horned Frogs snapped the Cougars 16 game winning streak in conference.  Senior BYU Quarterback Max Hall will try to avoid the warts of last year's 2-interception performance against the number four defense in the country.  Sure, BYU shocked then No. 3 Oklahoma in their season opener.  But who hasn't?  I think TCU's horny, ahem, thorny defense suffocates BYU in the thin night mountain air on its way to the BCS.

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Oh Boy

I knew that this day would come. After Iowa beat Wisconsin, I explained to Mrs. Bama Hawkeye that Iowa would lose next week. I explained the oddity of the series, that the home team had won every time but one since 1991. I reminded her of Iowa’s good 2003 team, which still managed to lose there. She looked at me, gave the same dismissive look that she does every time I make an argument, and said, “Iowa’s going to win. This is a special season.” The smart husband always listens to his wife.

Northwestern by 10
Purdue by 8 (although this could be the start of Illinois winning four games down the stretch to save the Zooker’s job. For ten other teams, here’s hoping!)
Penn State by 8
Michigan State by 8
TCU by 10

Nobody said I was a smart husband. I hop that I’m wrong (as usual) and that she’s right (as usual).

http://www.rivalryesq.com/
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Bama Hawkeye on Oct 22, 2009 12:43 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Prepared for the Long War

My new goal for the season? To finish in the top 5 by attrition. That’s right: I’m counting on some of you to drop out and start watching one of the “interesting” conferences, or spending time with your wives, or mowing your lawns on Saturdays…SOMETHING.

My picks, such as they are:

NW by 3
Purdue by 17
PSU by 1
Iowa by 7
TCU by 14

Courting mediocrity since 1964.

by lakeeriemonstar on Oct 22, 2009 12:59 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Week 8

NW by 13
Illinois by 3
PSU by 7
Iowa by 6
TCU by 10

by JRose on Oct 22, 2009 1:07 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

two in a row?

Northwestern by 10
Purdue by 10
Penn St by 10
Iowa by 10
BYU by 10

by burncruisin on Oct 22, 2009 1:32 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Okay... got to get back in it

Northwestern by 7
Purdue by 13 (had to pick an odd number)
Penn State by 7
MSU by 3
TCU by 3

by hmlee on Oct 22, 2009 2:50 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Week 8 (No Confidence) Picks.

‘Cats by 7
Purdon’t by 10
Lions by 7
STATE by 8
TCU by 3

Man looks in the abyss, there's nothing staring back at him. At that moment, man finds his character. And that is what keeps him out of the abyss. -- Lou Mannheim, Wall Street

by ChiSpartan on Oct 22, 2009 3:23 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I picked all 5 last week and STILL lost points. Damn.

Indiana @ jNU: jNU by 10 (Iowa has to beat the top 8 teams in the conference. They just have to)

Illinois @ Purdue: Illinois by 7 (At some point in time, PU has got to have a let down. I think it’s this week)

PSU @ UM: PSU by 14 (PSU’s OL is finally starting to gel. I think)

Iowa @ MSU: Iowa by 13 (offense looked up last week, it continues to progress against a stout MSU front 7)

TCU @ BYU: TCU by 3 (BYU is ticked it won’t crash the BCS, and will play accordingly. But TCU is just better)

by imadirtyoldman on Oct 22, 2009 6:01 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Another round of blind pick'em

Northwestern by 3
Purdue by 10
Penn State by 10
Iowa by 4
TCU by 4

It never gets to be easy

by chitownhawkeye on Oct 22, 2009 6:15 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Northwestern by 6 (good lord, there are going to be a lot of points scored in this game)
Purdue by 17 (Illinois looks like a Jim Wacker-era Gopher team, except with more flailing incompetence)
PSU by 4 (the streak of losses at Michigan ends)
Iowa by 10 (because that’s just what Iowa does, no matter who they’re playing)
BYU by 14 (another BCS-crasher bites the dust)

by SpartanDan on Oct 22, 2009 7:26 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Yikes-a-bee

Tough week. Cheers, ya’all

Northwestern by 13
Purdue by 6
PSU by 7 (Graham… care to make a wager on this one?)
Michigan State by 3 (am I nuts? Probably)
BYU by 4

Joe Paterno is my adopted grandfather.
Nittany Lion Love,
Meredith

by PaternosGranddaughter on Oct 22, 2009 7:32 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Sounds great

I’ll wager you one delicious meal at Raising Kanes, my absolute favorite C-bus establishment. Deal? Ah, I can already taste the Texas Toast…

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Oct 22, 2009 9:49 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

IU by 7 (Indiana uses the momentum gained from clubbing the incompetent Zookers to come out ahead)

Purdue by 10 (if it was against anyone else I’d say that they have a let down; I still think they’ll have a let down but Illinois’ own incompetence will mask said poor showing)

PSU by 7 (they should be able to control the ball as well as slow Michigan’s spread enough to finally get a win in the big house)

MSU by 12 (my gut and history point to the same thing, which means that my hunch has just screwed this historical trend…you’re welcome Iowa fans)

TCU by 17 (TCU is just better)

by Estrada on Oct 22, 2009 8:21 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Lets see

Tied for 4th in Espn’s college pickem confidence style, but still stink here. Damn spread picks.

Indiana by 7
Purdue by 13
Penn State by 12
Iowa by 14
BYU by 7 (it helps the hawks somewhere down the line)

Its a funny story actually.

by Wad on Oct 22, 2009 9:47 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Hmm

Indiana by 3
Purdue by 9
Penn State by 4
Iowa by 8
BYU by 3

by RossWB on Oct 23, 2009 12:10 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

almost forgot about this

NW by 14
Purdue by 17
Penn State by 3
Iowa by 7
TCU by 10

"I'm driven by greatness" - Derrick Williams

by HookMania on Oct 23, 2009 10:03 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

From the cellar...

Purple kids by 10
Boilers by 10
PSU by 3
MSU by 3
TCU by 7

"Don't you want a little taste of the glory... see what it tastes like?"

by jerdogg1 on Oct 23, 2009 11:15 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I'd do so much better at this if we were picking against the spread

Northwestern by 3 (Indiana covers the +5.5)
Purdue by 14 (Purdue covers the -10)
Penn State by 13 (Penn State covers the -4.5)
Iowa by 7 (Iowa covers the +1)
TCU by 3 (TCU covers the -2.5)

by gophersports on Oct 23, 2009 11:22 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

it's fine

That’s what Law Buck does anyways…

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Oct 23, 2009 4:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

haha

while my picks this week may be the equivalent of 3 runs up the middle and a punt, i will mix it up in future weeks (and likely find a way to let everyone back in the game, in true Hawkeye fashion.)

by SeattleHawkeye on Oct 23, 2009 5:56 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

picks

Northwestern by 7
Purdue by 14
Michigan by 3
Iowa by 10
BYU by 7

by DMAN2303 on Oct 23, 2009 5:14 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

1) Indiana @ jNW – jNW by 10
2) Ilini @ Purdue – Purdue by 14
3) Penn State @ MI – PSU by 7
4) Iowa @ MSU – Iowa by 3
5) TCU @ BYU – BYU by 3, very late

by txhawkeye on Oct 23, 2009 5:28 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

First Time

Just found this site a little while ago and I’ve got to say, very nice job guys. I like seeing the perspective of fans from across the Big Ten. Even though it’s probably too late to get into this thing, I’ll throw my picks out there anyway.

Indiana by 7
Purdue by 10
Psu by 7
Iowa by 10
TCU by 10

by Steel Hawkeye on Oct 24, 2009 9:24 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Glad you like the site!

It’s not a bad year to be an Iowa fan.

The Rivalry, Esq.
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Law Buckeye on Oct 27, 2009 3:46 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

welcome of course

And just so you know, if you won this week, you win the right to put 500 words on the site..about anything CFB…

The Rivalry, Esq.
"Ya know, I love Columbus...Oh shit...Kick me in the fucking face. I meant, I love Ann Arbor."

by grahamfiller10 on Oct 27, 2009 9:17 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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