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The Obligatory Predictions Competition - Week 13


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Welcome to our Thanksgiving holiday edition of the OPC.  Turkey, cranberry sauce, and corn muffins won't be the only things you stuff your face with over the next several days.  This weekend is positively jammed packed with college games.  Loosen your belt, sink into a soft recliner, and load up on these historic, hot button matchups.

Before we get started, one quick note.  This week, and next week will be the final editions of our regular season predictions.  After the championship games on December 5th, we'll crown a season winner.  But don't fret.  The following week we'll start anew, with The Obligatory Predictions Competition Bowl Edition.  You'll have the chance to pick all 35 bowls at once, in a winner take all format.  So if you didn't wipe the floor with your season picks, consider this a second chance.

Remember to get your picks in by 11:00 a.m. Friday!

1. ILLINOIS at No. 5 CINCINNATI, 12:00 p.m. EST (11/27), ABC

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts CINCINNATI by 17

This game is a referendum on one coach's ability to create a successful offensive gameplan…and one coach's inability to draw any cohesiveness from his offensive squad. Hot Seat Coach in this game: Zook!

LAW BUCKEYE predicts CINCINNATI by 14

Yes, there's a small part of me that thinks the Illini might get a landmark upset that salvages their shipwrecked season.  I thought the same thing before Illinois met Missouri in St. Louis for the season opener in 2008.  Not even close.  The Illini will overplay the pass, allowing Cincinnati to showcase its ability to run.  Tony Pike struggles early, but rebounds to slice and dice the 89th worse defense in the FBS.  My bet is this game is bad enough by 2:30 p.m. that you'll be ready to turn the dial to:


2. No. 2 ALABAMA at AUBURN, 2:30 p.m. EST (11/27), CBS

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts ALABAMA by 14

A lack of good offensives in the SEC plus a stingy ‘Bama D equals 10 ppg allowed. ‘Bama hasn’t seen an offense like Auburn’s, but I doubt that these NFL-caliber defenders will lose sleep over Chizik’s misdirection.

LAW BUCKEYE predicts ALABAMA by 7

It's easy to forget in the wake of last year's 36-0 Alabama win, that the modern Iron Bowl has belonged to Auburn.  Prior to being embarassed last year, the Tigers had seized the in-state showdown six years in a row.  I like the physical chemistry of this matchup: Alabama's brute force against Auburn's speedy spread.  The nation's No. 1 (Alabama's Mark Ingram) and No. 3 (Auburn's Ben Tate) rushers will be on display Saturday in a game that I suspect will lock up early.  Alabama pushes and pulls its way to Atlanta with a perfect record.

Star-divide

3. FLORIDA STATE at No. 1 FLORIDA, 3:30 p.m. EST (11/28), CBS

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts FLORIDA by 17

FSU hasn’t stopped anyone all year. Their defense is like the Maginot Line of college football: Easily circumvented, lacking interior strength, and no organization. Hot Seat Coach in this game: Bowden! Coach Leaving: Andrews!

LAW BUCKEYE predicts FLORIDA by 14

Florida doesn't have a sizzling deep threat this year, making its offense about as fun to watch as a stripper in a turtleneck, but who needs big plays when you've got a defense that all but guarantees you'll win the battle of field position.  Bobby Bowden has all but said the Seminoles can't compete.  If he doesn't believe, why should I?


4. GEORGIA at No. 7 GEORGIA TECH, 8:00 p.m. EST (11/28), ABC

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts GEORGIA TECH by 17

GT has that magical knack for winning close games. I love the triple option like a brother and I love the toughness Paul Johnson installed. Dead Coach Walking: Willie Martinez!

LAW BUCKEYE predicts GEORGIA TECH by 10

Not only has Paul Johnson's vaunted triple-option attack survived its second run through conference play, the offense has flourished as the Yellow Jackets have learned to execute.  The uniqueness of the Tech attack is another headache for Mark Richt, who already has to worry about his team's problems turning the ball over, failing to force turnovers, and piling up penalty yards.  Georgia looks confused and disoriented as they fall to their rivals in Atlanta for the first time in a decade.


5. NOTRE DAME at STANFORD, 8:00 p.m. EST (11/28), ABC

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts STANFORD by 7

White Wonder Toby Gerhart is foaming at the mouth in anticipation of smacking heads with the Irish defenders. Something to know about Stanford - Not only can they smashmouth, they can play action and go down the field, as witnessed in the USC depantsing. I know it'll be fun for Jimmy Clausen to be back in the home state, but ND has failed to take advantage of endgame opportunities all year. Dead Coach Limping: Chuck Weis!

LAW BUCKEYE predicts STANFORD by 7

I know what you're thinking: who cares about this game?  Charlie Weis is done.  Stanford can't win the Pac 10.  Neither team is ranked.  I'd like to suggest this game is the week's toughest to pick.  How will the Irish play for their interred leader?  Will they come out strong, showing the flash in a pan offensive brilliance they displayed at times this season, taking advantage of a Cardinal squad that was rattled by California last week?  Or will they sink softly into the earth, making Tuesday's meeting between Weis and (Athletic Director) Jack Swarbrick merely precatory?  Will this be for the Irish what the 2007 Capital One Bowl was for Michigan?  I think the Irish play hard, but their defense can't overcome the sound and fury of Stanford's rush attack.  Stanford drops the other shoe.

0 recs  |  Comment 15 comments |

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It's all downhill from here

Illinois @ Cincy: Cincy by 30. The Zooker CANNOT prepare his team. Never has been able to.

‘Bama @ Auburn: Alabama by 10. Game isn’t that close, but the score is.

FSU @ Florida: Florida by 13. FSU can score sometimes, too.

Georgia @ GT: GT by 24. Georgia is that bad.

ND @ Stanford: Stanford by 14. Bye, Charlie. You suck as a head coach.

by imadirtyoldman on Nov 25, 2009 9:01 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Mounting indifference ...

Cincy by 20
’Bama by 14
Gators by 10
GT by 14
Cardinal by 14

Man looks in the abyss, there's nothing staring back at him. At that moment, man finds his character. And that is what keeps him out of the abyss. -- Lou Mannheim, Wall Street

by ChiSpartan on Nov 25, 2009 9:35 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Pushing on

Cincy by 12 I think that the pressure has been getting to the Bearcats in their last couple of games
Bama by 17 RMFTR
Florida by 27
Tech by 16
Notre Dame by 8 The Weis saga has one more turn left

http://www.rivalryesq.com/
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Bama Hawkeye on Nov 25, 2009 9:56 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Wait...They're Still Playing Football?

I’m shocked, SHOCKED, that football continues after Thanksgiving. Don’t these other schools recognize the need to go on a month long turkey and eggnog bender?

Picks:

Cincy by 14
Bama by 10
Gators by 20
GT by 17
Standford by 10

Courting mediocrity since 1964.

by lakeeriemonstar on Nov 25, 2009 10:35 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Clearly, we're the only people at work today

Picks:

Cincy by 17
Bama by 13
Florida by 7
GT by 24 (and they give Georgia a new mascot: “Robo Dawg”) (H/T: EDSBS)
Stanford by 17 (and Charlie Weiss gets punched in the eye by crazed Notre Dame fans)

They took the bar, the whole fucking bar!

by recoveringfratguy on Nov 25, 2009 11:59 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

My craaaaaaaazy

Big spreads week:

Cinci by 17
Bama by 10
Florida by 20
GT by 7
Stanford by 10

by hmlee on Nov 25, 2009 12:23 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Ick

This is a hard week…

Cincy by 17
Bama by 14
Florida by 21
GT by 6
Stanford by 7

Joe Paterno is my adopted grandfather.
Nittany Lion Love,
Meredith

by PaternosGranddaughter on Nov 25, 2009 4:07 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Cincy by 17 – an apparent epic coaching mitchmatch
Auburn by 3 – why? I don’t know, just to laugh at Bama maybe
Florida by 14- fsu continues to become a punch line
Tech by 10 – Paul Johnson knows what he is doing, Mark Richt no longer does
ND by 3 – salvage Weis pride, Harbaugh is overrated, and I hate ND

by txhawkeye on Nov 25, 2009 5:10 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

“mismatch”. Jesus, what was that typing?

by txhawkeye on Nov 26, 2009 12:02 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

nice

The Rivalry, Esq.
"Ricky Stanzi is to interceptions as Journey is to 80s rock ballads...inextricably linked."

by grahamfiller10 on Nov 27, 2009 10:54 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Cincy by 11 (Illinois plays to their potential briefly before falling apart)
Auburn by 3 (come on, something weird has to happen sometime this season, right?)
Florida by 31 (this might be close if Ponder weren’t hurt, but without him they have no chance of keeping up with the points their abysmal D will allow)
Tech by 16 (the triple option will run amok)
Stanford by 7 (it’ll be close, if only because ND doesn’t do anything else this year, but Stanford is the better team by a sizable margin)

by SpartanDan on Nov 25, 2009 7:19 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Cincinnati by 17
Alabama by 10
Florida by 20
Georgia Tech by 10
Stanford by 10

by burncruisin on Nov 25, 2009 8:00 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Hmm

Cincy by 13
Alabama by 7
Florida by 21
Ga Tech by 14
Stanford by 10

by RossWB on Nov 25, 2009 10:36 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

My Guest Appearance

Cincy by 18
Bama by 14
Florida by 24
Ga Tech by 10
Stanford by 14

by Ski U Mah Gopher on Nov 26, 2009 10:10 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Happy Thanksgiving everyone

I am thankful for being in 1st place… lets see if i can hold on for 2 more weeks…

Cincy by 10
Bama by 7
Florida by 21
Tech by 10
Stanford by 10

by SeattleHawkeye on Nov 26, 2009 12:49 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

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