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Just an Upset: Northwestern Knocks Off Stanzi and Iowa Too, 17-10

Wow. What a finish. I think I finally know how Iowa fans have been feeling most of this season. Northwestern has had some memorable games this season - scares against Eastern Michigan and Miami(OH), come backs against Purdue and Indiana - but even through all of those, I think today's win against formerly undefeated Iowa qualifies as the most memorable of the year.

I was asked during the live game thread if Northwestern winning out (including the Iowa victory) would make this season a success. My reply was that unless it was combined with a bowl win against a decent or good team, the answer is no. As thrilling as this victory is, it's merely one great moment in a season full of disappointments.

But we can talk about that later. For now, let's just bask in the upset glow...

Once again during a Northwestern game I saw a starting quarterback taken down by injury and replaced by an ineffective backup. Except, this time, that injury came on the other side of the ball. The biggest news from this game, aside from the final score, was the injury to Ricky Stanzi.

The injury happened in the beginning of the second quarter. Pinned down on their own 6 yard line, Stanzi took the snap in the end zone to attempt a pass. The Iowa defense, for some inexplicable reason, failed to cover Corey Wootton who rushed in from Stanzi's right side and took him down. Stanzi fumbled the ball and Marshall Thomas fell on it for Northwestern's first TD of the game.

Stanzi didn't get up.

He managed to walk off the field, which probably saved a few emergency rooms in Iowa City from having a new crop of admits. The update during the middle of the game suggested that Stanzi, who did not return, suffered some sort of ankle sprain. There was no information on how soon he would return to play, but it's not likely to be a season ending injury.

That's pretty much the only good news Iowa fans can take away from this game, as their Big 10 title hopes are now threatened and their chance at the BCS title almost certainly eliminated, barring a few losses on the parts of Florida, Texas, Alabama, and Cincinnati.

Stanzi was replaced in the game by redshirt freshman James Vandenberg, a substitution that changed the script of the game. Vandenberg showed his inexperience in a big way and the upset was on.

Read how it happened, after the jump...

Graham takes a look at the Big 10 defenses going into Week 10...

I recap the disappointing collapse against Penn State in Week 9...

Star-divide

We knew going into this game that Northwestern had historically performed well against Iowa, winning three of their last four contests. Even so, Iowa was a special team this year and Northwestern was, well, not. Iowa's defense was legendary and despite major injuries to their running game and inconsistency under center, they always seemed to find some fourth quarter magic to overcome deficits and get to a 9-0 record on the season. The collision of these two sets of facts led me to be completely unsure of what to expect from this game. Fortunately, it all turned out better than I ever could have hoped for.

Oh, did I mention, Northwestern is also bowl eligible now? It might only be a trip to Detroit, but at least we'll be playing football in late December / early January.

This game, like so many others, started out on a down note for the 'Cats. Northwestern came out of the gate sluggish, giving up a touchdown on a Stanzi-McNutt connection only a minute into the game. After a three and out, Iowa followed up their TD with a 39 yard field goal by Daniel Murray to take a 10-0 lead. It seemed as though the 1st quarter score would be predictive of Iowa's record at the end of the game, and I would be forced to watch a rout.

Most of Northwestern's early offensive struggles were due to the limitations of Mike Kafka. Kafka, who returned himself form an injury suffered during the Penn State game, was almost completely immobile. He was still able to complete passes at his effective clip, but the story of Northwestern's offensive line is one of inability to hold the pocket for any length of time. Without Kafka's scrambling ability, Northwestern didn't seem to be able to get much going.

After the first series of the game, Kafka was replaced by Dan Persa, he of the complete ineffectiveness against the Nittany Lions. Persa performed much better today than he did last week... Despite completing only 5 passes for 37 yards during the entirety of the game, he managed to use his legs and speed to gain several first downs for the Wildcats.

It's almost funny, in a way. Northwestern had two limited quarterbacks in this game - one who could throw but not scramble, and the other who could scramble but not throw. If only we could have fused them into one super quarterback.

Persa's legs combined with those of Scott Concannon, who had another excellent game, to generate 126 rushing yards, more between the two of them than both quarterbacks threw for combined.

The running game is one of the stories of the day. Iowa, in a change from most of the season, just could not seem to prevent Concannon from breaking off large runs. They also had trouble with the quarterback sneak, with the Northwestern offensive line pushing for yardage in several 3rd-and-short situations.

During the first half, Northwestern was helped by Iowa committing four turnovers. Two of these were interceptions (one from each QB) and two were lost fumbles. Despite these chances, Northwestern's hamstrung offense largely failed to capitalize, gaining only 14 points off all of the turnovers combined.

Northwestern's second touchdown was a nifty throw by Dan Persa to Drake Dunsmore, one of his few quality throws. That, along with a 47 yard field goal by Stefan Demos would comprise all of Northwestern's offense on the day.

But, it was enough.

Northwestern, in an almost mirror image of last week, entered the half leading 14-10. The third quarter was uneventful, a slug fast back and forth with the only play of note being a missed 46 yard field goal on a tough angle by Iowa's kicker Daniel Murray.

The fourth quarter was really where all the excitement happened - as it does in most Iowa games. The 'Cats started the quarter with Demos' aforementioned field goal to take a 17-10 lead.Iowa got the ball back but, between Brandon Wegher getting stuffed at the line on most run plays and Vandenberg overshooting his receivers, gave it right back to Northwestern after six plays.

This next drive featured perhaps the worst coaching move by Fitz I've seen all season. On 4th and 1 in their own territory, Northwestern simultaneously executed a perfect QB sneak for a first down and a timeout. The timeout wiped out the first down and forced Northwestern to punt. I'm not entirely sure what happened - it seems almost as though Fitzgerald panicked at the last minute and changed his mind, but the screw up was an incredibly bad break for the team.

Iowa managed to drive to midfield on their subsequent possession, but the game was almost ended by a Quentin Davie interception - except he couldn't hang on to the ball. Between that play and the botched fourth down conversion it felt as though the fates were aligning against Northwestern. Could they hold on? Would Iowa pull another rabbit out of their hat?

Fortunately, the answer was no. Kirk Ferentz had no more magic left. Northwestern ran down the clock to just over two minutes and Iowa, with no timeouts remaining, got the ball back for one last try. Vandenberg managed to gain a single first down before turning the ball over on downs as a result of several incomplete passes. After this, Northwestern took a knee and the victory.

Before I get into my complete impressions, a word about the officiating in the fourth quarter. There were several questionable non-calls, most for pass interference, on Iowa's last drive. I find this unfortunate, as I am always a believer in solid officiating - I'd rather not see the NCAA become the NBA, if you know what I mean. Personally, though, I don't think Iowa fans have a right to complain. Last week, Indiana was screwed out of at least two touchdowns and perhaps some pass yardage after questionable officiating. In that game, the breaks went Iowa's way, in this one they didn't. Perhaps it was referee karma.

So, what does this game all mean? Well, for Northwestern, as I mentioned above, it pretty much secures a bowl berth. It's not going to be a good bowl, and I won't really consider it much of an achievement after last year, but at the least we're not staying home in the winter.

Iowa has placed themselves behind the 8 ball for their conference championship and BCS hopes. If they manage to win out, their victory over Penn State guarantees a trip to Pasadena and a likely date with the Ducks. They can also still go to the Rose Bowl with another loss if Penn State comes back against Ohio State this afternoon. If, however, Ohio State wins out (including this afternoon) they will once again be Big 10 champions. Penn State could also secure the championship for themselves if they beat Ohio State this afternoon, AND defeat Michigan State and Indiana, AND Iowa loses to either OSU or Minnesota. Whew. Quite the muddled situation, eh?

As far as the BCS goes, Iowa is almost certainly shut out of the championship game. Their road was always difficult, given the dominance of Florida, Texas, and Alabama. Now it's almost certain that, barring everything in the rest of the season going right, they will be looking at the Rose Bowl as their best bowl option.

That's the way the situation looks right now but... you know what? I really don't care. I'm happy. This was an awesome game. I'm going to go enjoy the beautiful Chicago weather. See you next week for the Northwestern / Illinois rivalry game.

Go U! NU!

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It's so sad

That Iowa is jinxed against NW. If Stanzi just takes the safety, Iowa goes on to continue the domination established in the 1st quarter. As it is, the rest of Iowa’s schedule is incredibly tough. It’s downright bleak. The story of the game is Staniz’s injury, end of story. Without it, Iowa rolls. With it, it’s a sad end of a magnificent ride to a vastly inferior team, and the schedule looks very tough from here on out.

by stewartom on Nov 7, 2009 5:27 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Is Stanzi actually out for the season?

I saw this on another site but couldn’t confirm.

by hmlee on Nov 7, 2009 8:16 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Not confirmed yet

But word around the campfire is high ankle sprain leaving Stanzi out until the bowl season.

I’d like to go on an anti-jNWU rant here, and how I only hope that pride goeth before the fall. But I just can’t. Y’all earned this one today, what happens on the field, happens. I believe, if Stanzi had been on the field, that we win. But that’s not the reality of the situation. You won, we lost. Once again, I now have first hand knowledge of how PSU fans feel when they play us. Right, wrong or indifferent, jNWU has our number. And I hate you all for it.

I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.

by HoyaGoon on Nov 8, 2009 1:58 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

illogical hatred and rants

are encouraged on TRE…either way, it turned into a punchless slugfest thanks to the injuries, which is too bad…but you’re right, NW just had to survive and they did.

The Rivalry, Esq.
"Ricky Stanzi is to interceptions as Journey is to 80s rock ballads...inextricably linked."

by grahamfiller10 on Nov 8, 2009 10:09 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

I found myself thinking when I was writing my recap, “Man… HoyaGoon and the other Iowa fans are going to hate Northwestern for like DECADES now. This is the kind of stuff they tell their kids about…”

by hmlee on Nov 8, 2009 12:02 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

No, don't worry

Even if we had won, I’d still hate Northwestern for decades. Well, not hate, I would just be rather dismissive of you until the yearly “Oh god, are we really going to lose to them AGAIN?” drama plays out on the field.

I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.

by HoyaGoon on Nov 8, 2009 3:28 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Hate for jNW is a different animal

I really don’t hate jNW. I hate Fitzgerald, he of the “the better team won today” mantra, but I feel bad for jNW more than anything. Like Iowa State, most jNW fans need to beat Iowa more than we need to beat them. In classic little brother style, jNW fans will (and not saying you, hmlee, but more those that frequent BHGP all too often) pride themselves of things completely unrelated to football (Armani suits, driving Ferrari’s, etc.), only to try and come back to talk football-related shit once a win is eeked out.

Saturday showed more about Iowa’s resiliency than jNW’s skill. Yes, Iowa has trouble with jNW. But jNW only scored 10 points. 10 points after playing 70% of the 1st half on the Iowa side of the field. 10 points after 4 TO’s. 10 points after Iowa lost it’s starting QB.

So yeah, jNW won. Yeah, my hopes of going to the NC game were dashed. But am I heartbroken? Only that those players worked so hard and had a bad break cost them a shot at the NC game. jNW won only because Stanzi went down. Period. And fuck Fitzgerald for suggesting otherwise.

by imadirtyoldman on Nov 9, 2009 10:45 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Just like...

… how bad breaks cost you the game last year? I’m tired of Iowa fans making excuses like this. It was the same thing last year when Shonn Greene got KO’d by Brad Phillips. This is two years in a row NU has won at Kinnick. Both times, we’ve forced a ton of turnovers. Both times at the end of the game, we’ve had more points. Don’t forget that NU has been hit hard by injuries this year, and to star players. We could argue the same thing that the reason we lost to Penn State was because Kafka got hurt. After all, we were winning that game at half.

We played that game without our starting QB. Then, when our backup got hurt, we had to play with half a QB since Kafka’s hammy limited him so much. Our starting strong safety is out. Our best CB has been held back by leg injuries all season. Our best defensive player, Corey Wootton, is still clearly struggling to come back from a devastating knee injury last year and a sprained ankle.

I’d be OK with Iowa fans blaming one game on a bad break, but 3 in a row AT Kinnick, and 4 of the last 5, that’s a pattern, not bad luck. In the end, every team has to overcome injuries and mistakes. So please, keep feeling bad for us. We’ll keep beating you until you realize that jNU is starting to think of you as JUST Iowa.

by Naming my first dog Foppa on Nov 9, 2009 1:39 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

damn you and your big words, and your small difficult words. When did they change the meaning of “for” to “from”?

Keeping wildlife, an amphibious rodent, for uh, domestic, you know, within the city - that aint legal either, Dude.

by AcrimoniousAngerererer on Nov 9, 2009 3:04 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I knew you'd correct me

And don’t pat yourself on the back too hard for just becoming bowl eligible.

by imadirtyoldman on Nov 10, 2009 7:25 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

JUST bowl eligible

Fitting for JUSTnorthwestern.

by imadirtyoldman on Nov 10, 2009 7:26 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

That's the thing...

For us, right now, becoming bowl eligible for the third straight season IS a big deal to us. Yes, we’ve perennially been a doormat in the Big10. Yes, we have the record for most consecutive losses. Yes, we have the dubious record for being on the wrong side of the biggest comeback ever.

BUT

We see our team’s performance since ‘95 and especially these past three years as a sign of improvement. We’re seeing some consistency in the right direction now. We have, probably understandably so, lower expectations each season than Iowa fans do. But that’s just us being realistic. But now those expectations are getting higher each year. We’re on the rise despite our handicap when it comes to recruiting. So, I’ll continue to be very happy that we are bowl eligible again. I’ll also be proud of our three Big10 titles since ‘95. I’ll be fine with being “JUSTnorthwestern” as long as we keep moving in that direction.

Now beyond this NU vs. Iowa debate, I would love to see you beat the shit out of OSU this weekend. No matter how big our rivalry gets or how much Iowa fans don’t want to admit it is, I’ll always have a special place in my heart for hating OSU and everything they stand for.

by Naming my first dog Foppa on Nov 10, 2009 2:10 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

i like you

you should come on TRE more with statements like that…

Now beyond this NU vs. Iowa debate, I would love to see you beat the shit out of OSU this weekend. No matter how big our rivalry gets or how much Iowa fans don’t want to admit it is, I’ll always have a special place in my heart for hating OSU and everything they stand for.

The Rivalry, Esq.
"Ricky Stanzi is to interceptions as Journey is to 80s rock ballads...inextricably linked."

by grahamfiller10 on Nov 10, 2009 10:56 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Keep in mind...

Our starting QB was hurt going in to the game. So our backup had to play… then when he got hurt, we had to bring Kafka back in despite the fact that there was no way he could escape pressure or scramble with the bum hamstring. That’s taking out a HUGE part of our offense. Additionally, one of our starting safeties, Brendan Smith, was out for the game… perhaps he doesn’t make the mistake that Peters makes on that long touchdown on Iowa’s third play.

Play that game with healthy players on both sides, I still liked NU’s chances given our recent history versus Iowa. Fact is, football is a team game, and one team earned it yesterday.

by Naming my first dog Foppa on Nov 8, 2009 2:28 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Last week, Indiana was screwed out of at least two touchdowns and perhaps some pass yardage after questionable officiating.

Only one. The previous overturn of a TD was followed by an Indiana TD on the very next play. (And the questionable spot on the first-or-fourth down call was also moot, as Iowa jumped offsides on the next play, giving them the first down.)

by SpartanDan on Nov 8, 2009 6:50 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Shhhhh

Never let facts get in the way of a good argument.

I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.

by HoyaGoon on Nov 8, 2009 7:35 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

"This was an awesome game."

Hmmm… well a wins a win (we Iowa fans know this to be true, for sure), but I just don’t see either teams walking away form that game feeling to great about where they’re at going forward.

I guess its an awesome game if youre a fan of punting and injuries.

by AcrimoniousAngerererer on Nov 8, 2009 10:42 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Completely disagree

I can’t imagine NU being more fired up/excited after a game in a long time… We just took down the #4 team in the nation (even if a bit overrated) on the road, with two winnable games left. We now have the chance to go 8-4 in a season that started pretty poorly given our expectations (see the Syracuse loss and narrow win against a directional Michigan). We expect to win at Illinois next week, then we finish at home vs. Wisconsin.

If he heals this week, Kafka’s hitting his stride later in the season. Hell, who knows what would have happened against Penn State had he not pulled his hamstring. Our defense is starting to show signs that the regression we saw earlier in the season is ending and they’re playing much more like the 2008 crew we loved.

They pull that off, and we have 9-3 and 8-4 regular seasons back-to-back, it puts our program in a great spot.

by Naming my first dog Foppa on Nov 8, 2009 11:45 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Plus

That game got us bowl eligibility for the third year in a row…

by Naming my first dog Foppa on Nov 8, 2009 11:51 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

agreed

why be a college football fan if you can’t get overexcited about beating…anyone

The Rivalry, Esq.
"Ricky Stanzi is to interceptions as Journey is to 80s rock ballads...inextricably linked."

by grahamfiller10 on Nov 9, 2009 1:10 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Don’t get me wrong, I was dancing in the street after we beat Indiana and many other teams this past season that I think we should have handled with ease, and certainly last year when we beat PSU. But I tend to look at the most awful things that happened to my team during the game and magnify them x1000 on Sunday morning. Best example being my ’02 Hawkeyes where we dominated almost every game, but I knew where our weakness was: two 5 foot 4 step-too-slow sophomore cornerbacks. Sure enough Carson Palmer sliced and diced those boys up pretty good in the Orange Bowl.

Even without Stanzi in the game, Iowa’s long passing game looked to be there. That would be enough to give my stomach a turn or two in a bowl game. /clenchteeth Good luck the rest of the way, wildcats

Keeping wildlife, an amphibious rodent, for uh, domestic, you know, within the city - that aint legal either, Dude.

by AcrimoniousAngerererer on Nov 9, 2009 2:05 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

8-4??

If this weekend taught you anything, its that you shouldn’t count your chickens before they hatch. To get to 8 wins, you need to win out. You should beat Illinois, but Wisconsin will be a very tough game, especially the way Wisky is playing right now. I’m predicting a very respectable 7-5 for you. Just remember, you are as likely to go 6-6 as you are 8-4, both remain firmly in the realm of possibility.

I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.

by HoyaGoon on Nov 9, 2009 2:09 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Oh don’t get me wrong. I know. We’re increasingly worried about the Illinois game next week with how they’re playing. And yes, Wisco is definitely playing well and that’s by no means an expected win.

My point was just that with the win our fanbase, and I’m assuming team, are really excited because we have the chance to end the season at 8-4.

by Naming my first dog Foppa on Nov 9, 2009 2:47 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

That's the next hurdle for you

That is, to be a consistent 7+ game winner year-in and year-out. Since 1995 (sigh, hate having to use the same phrase that begins EVERY jNWU fan’s post), you’ve obviously become a much more successful program. But what’s been lacking has been consistency, back-to-back bowls ONLY in 95-96 (and most likely 08-09), followed by losing records. If Northwestern wants to be taken seriously as a program, it needs to get to a place where the expectation is bowl game EVERY year (with allowance for once a decade or so misses), not something that happens every few seasons. Things are looking good for you in light of the win Saturday, and 7-5 is still an accomplishment with such a young team, but that needs to be the baseline for your program, not a fortuitous outcome.

I ate the blue ones ... they taste like burning.

by HoyaGoon on Nov 9, 2009 3:29 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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