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Five Unlikely Predictions for the Big Ten in 2009

Re-harnessing the spirit of prognostication, let's take advantage of a lukewarm afternoon to unleash a few "shot in the dark" predictions about Big Ten football in 2009.  Like a good cocktail, these predictions come garnished with a twist: I'm pouring only the unlikely suspects.  Expect the unexpected.

5. Ohio State doesn't win the conference outright...

Drained on defense, and inexperienced on offense, the 2009 Buckeyes could well drop a few games in conference play.  Suspect upsets: @ Penn State (11-7), and one of the following, @ Purdue (10-17), Iowa (11-14), and @ Michigan (11-21).

Ohio_state_usc_football_400_medium

4. But they do beat USC...

If the combination of Nos. 4 and 5 seems out there, it might be because you're desensitized to the rigors of competitive conference play.  Sure, when it comes to inter-league density, the Big Ten has been about as deep as a contestant on The Bachelor, but let's not allow the exception to swallow the rule. 

Conference challenges should be dog eat dog, if only for the common tenor that comes from sharing a payout, recruiting geographic, and the familiarity of seeing a team year after year.  There's a reason why Pac 10 featherweights seem to be the only ones who can sack the mighty Trojans.

When USC visits Columbus in early September, they'll face a new kind of enemy: the volatile twelfth man: an angry sea of 107,000 corn-fed, no bull Ohioans -- feverish proud, and void of silicon.  With all due respect to Strawberry Canyon, this is a new kind of away game.

Expect a young quarterback, either transferee Mitch Mustain, Aaron Corp, Matt Barkley, and (long shot Senior receiver) Garrett Green, to swallow his tongue a few times on third-down -- mistakes that just might be the difference in a surprisingly low scoring showdown that signals a resurrection of the Big Ten's national legitimacy.

(Then again, that's what I said last year.)

3. No team finishes conference play undefeated.

Okay, so we know how the Buckeyes bite it.  Penn State -- forced back to a standard definition offense goes down either @ Michigan (10/24) or @ Michigan State (11/21).  Iowa drops @ Penn State (9/26), and Michigan State loses to Iowa (10/24).

2. Purdue wins six games, but doesn't make a bowl.

In their first year under the suitably-named Danny Hope, the Boilermakers heat things up, capturing a few landmark wins in the process.  The likely exclamation points: Northwestern (10/3), and Illinois (10/24).

1. The Big Ten goes 7-2 in bowl games.

Talk about a turnaround, but as our resident bowl expert put it "no team goes 8-0 in conference...no team finishes with less than 2 total losses...As a result, the Big Ten only puts one team in the BCS. And as a result of that, the Big Ten has its first really good bowl season in a long time."

Here's the breakdown:

Ohio State over Oregon in the Rose Bowl.

Penn State over Ole Miss in the Capital One Bowl.

Tennessee over Iowa in the Outback Bowl.

Michigan over Georgia Tech in the Champs Sports Bowl.

Michigan State over Kansas in the Alamo Bowl.

Illinois over Missouri in the Insight Bowl.

Northwestern over Western Kentucky in the Motor City Bowl.

Minnesota over UConn in the Papa John's Bowl.

Auburn over Wisconsin in the Independence Bowl.

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Some Quick Thoughts

Is PSU over OSU an upset? Is Mustain actually a veteran (8-0 at Arkansas), instead of a newbie signalcaller? Who’s the last Big 10 team to go undefeated in conference play?

by grahamfiller10 on Mar 5, 2009 5:26 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

if you don't mind I'll provide my thoughts on that

PSU over OSU would be an upset if both are undefeated (as Penn State should be, and OSU would have taken down USC in the process bumping them up). I’d call Mustain a newbie with game experience. He’s in a new system and going to be asked to throw more than he was at Arkansas. Its a better situation than most teams who are QB-less but still a question mark. As for the last Big 10 team to go undefeated in conference play would be OSU 06 who was the last Big 10 team to have an undefeated regular season as well.

"I'm driven by greatness" - Derrick Williams

by HookMania on Mar 6, 2009 6:43 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I’m not sold on Mustain (now watch, he’ll win the Heisman or something). Too much drama at Arkansas may mean trouble with all the pressure of being the QB at USC and the resulting attention. Hmmm. That being said, USC seems to do pretty well no matter where they play out-of-conference.

by txhawkeye on Mar 11, 2009 4:21 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

OSU hasnt won the conference outright 2 of the last 4 years, is it that unlikely?

Which is to say in those years, PSU beat OSU head to head, so PSU is the big ten champ, no co-championship bullshit. How can any buckeye fan hoenstly say they have a streak of what, 5-6 big ten championships? Really? NO, regardless of whatever books say, OSU was decidedly NOT big ten champs in 05 or 08.
Personally if the shoe was on the other foot I would not be sporting a PSU big10 champs tshirt because I would feel shitty knowing they had actually lost to their “co-champ”

by Roland86 on Mar 6, 2009 9:32 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

I'm with you on the futility of the co-championship distinction...

That’s why I don’t own a 2008 Big Ten Champs T-Shirt. In fact, I haven’t seen them sold in Columbus.

The “unlikely” label referred to next year in particular. At present Ohio State remains the favorite to walk away with the conference crown. The fact that I think they’ll have some serious competition is a break from the status quo.

Still, it’s a fair point. Thanks for your thoughts.

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football. Excuses Included.

by Law Buckeye on Mar 6, 2009 11:19 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I will throw in my agreement on all parts

They should do away with the co-champion BS. If OSU beats PSU next year but we are both one loss B10 teams, we should have no claim to a co-championship. It really just degrades the B10 (like we need any more of that).
Great predictions anyway. You know there will be one team that surprises us all in one way or another, but I hope the B10 has a better bowl showing as predicted.

We just needed a couple players, a couple people to buy in to the fact and we were able to do it. --A.Q. Shipley

by psu on Mar 7, 2009 8:19 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Michigan?

No way they climb that high in the big ten standings this year, they’re going to be a bottom feeder for at least one more season.

"gotta love the HD"

by biscoiv on Mar 7, 2009 12:29 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Law Buckeye has a habit of overrating Michigan constantly…kills me

by grahamfiller10 on Mar 8, 2009 11:43 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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