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The Obligatory Predictions Competition

College football's smartest picks contest.


You might have heard, we at The Rivalry, Esq. are not above the sort of self-declared polity that comes with crowning ourselves psychic masters of the college football universe and certifying our predictions each week.  Then again, you're not either.

It's back...The 2009 Obligatory Predictions Competition.

This is how we do it.  Each week we select five interesting match-ups and predict the outcome.  If you don't buy our "expert" opinions, or think you can do better -- enter your picks for all five games in the comments section of the article at least an hour before kickoff (EST) of the first match in question.  At the end of the week we'll tally the score and declare a winner. The weekly winner gets to write 500 words on the site about anything college football.

But that's not all.

New_medium in 2009...

Season Scoreboard.  This is no longer just a temporary thing.  Each time you earn points, we'll carry them over to the next week in a season-long race to the top.  (Sure, this means you'll probably want to try to play each round.  But don't sweat it if you miss a few.  We'll still crown weekly winners -- so you can defend your fanhood).

Here's how to run up the score:

  • One (1) point is earned for a correctly picking the winning team.
  • If you pick the winning team, earn an additional two (2) points for correctly identifying the winning spread by seven points or less.
  • If you pick the winning team, earn an additional two (2) points for picking a perfect spread (i.e. The PATERNOSGRANDDAUGHTER Bonus)
  • Two (2) bonus points are awarded for the "upset pick" -- an upset being defined as predicting: 1. Any AP/BCS Top 25 ranked team to defeat any opponent of higher rank, which in fact does occur, or 2. Any non-ranked AP/BCS Top 25 team to defeat any ranked opponent, which in fact does occur.

Without further adieu, here are our Week 1 Predictions:

1. No. 13 GEORGIA at No. 9 OKLAHOMA STATE, 3:30 p.m. EST (9/5), ABC

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts OKLAHOMA STATE by 10

You want me to pick OSU because of their returning weapons and the homefield advantage. You want me to pick OSU because Joe Cox throws an ugly ball and doesn’t have oodles of experience. You want me to pick OSU because no one else will and you think I’m an idiot to believe in a Big 12 team with no defense (is there any other kind of Big 12 team?). You win.

LAW BUCKEYE predicts OKLAHOMA STATE by 7

This is the hardest game of the week to predict, and we're not wasting any time by tackling it first.  On one hand, Georgia is without perhaps their two most recognizable playmakers of the last decade (Stafford/Moreno).  On the other, I have trouble shaking my belief that the Big 12 South is a one-dimensional mirage: high octane offenses propped up by abysmally poor defenses.

I think the Cowboys are the exception to the rule, and I think that because running back Kendall Hunter, wide receiver Dez Bryant, and quarterback Zac Robinson will score enough points to make up for a shaky defensive backfield.  The Bulldogs will score too, behind one of the best offensive lines in the country and a stable of backs, but they won't be able to keep up on a pistol whip of a trip outside conference lines.


2. WESTERN MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN, 3:30 p.m. EST (9/5), ABC

2711_medium130_medium

GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts MICHIGAN by 7

Oh boy. I envision Michigan struggling early on offense and watching in shock as Tim Hiller drives the Bronco’s down the field methodically for an early touchdown. I also envision the Bronco’s hurdling themselves at Forcier and praying he gets nicked early, if only to get Nick Sheridan on the field as fast as possible. Yes it’s true – Michigan’s 4 star defensive recruits should overwhelm Western in the Big House. But the Wolverines are facing tremendous pressure to win this game. Go Blue...

LAW BUCKEYE predicts MICHIGAN by 14

Two years in a row the Wolverines have tanked in their opener.  Let's just say the third time will be a charm for an embattled Rich Rodriguez and a much-improved squad.  I see a vaunted spread offense that clicks against a Bronco defense that returns just three starters and an unripe secondary.  Meanwhile, Obi Ezeh and Brandon Graham -- stars under the tutelage of Greg Robinson -- will anchor a stronger, more consistent 3-4 defense.

Still, Michigan fans shouldn't breathe a sigh of relief.  The true test for the Wolverines remains a week away when Charlie Weis comes to town.

Star-divide

3. MISSOURI v. ILLINOIS, 3:40 p.m. EST (9/5), ESPN

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts ILLINOIS by 10

For awhile, I’ve had a problem with that T-Pain/Jamie Foxx song "Blame It." I love it, but there’s one line that says Blame it on the Jews and I just felt that was inappropriate. That wonderful culture/people shouldn’t be blamed for your muddled one-night stands. Anyways, I’ve been informed that it’s actually a reference to the Illini’s struggles last year. Apparently T-Pain attended school in Champagne-Urbana and believes JUICE Williams was the cause of last year’s problems. Well Phil Steele and I both believe Williams and Co will improve this year. This turnaround starts against the Tigers from Mizzou. (Sorry Mary Schultz!)

LAW BUCKEYE predicts ILLINOIS by 10

Don't let the absence of rankings fool you.  This St. Louis showdown is a huge game for Illinois and the conference.  Mighty Mizzou has firebombed Ron Zook two years in a row.  It's time for some revenge.  Star Tigers linebacker Sean Witherspoon has promised to "squeeze the pulp out of Juice [Williams]."  He might get a few good licks in, but this game belongs to the stronger, more disciplined Illini.  Talented, but virgin quarterback Blaine Gabbert will struggle early to synchronize Gary Pinkel's signature offense.  Arrelious Benn will eat Missouri's shoe-string secondary alive.


4. NORTHERN ILLINOIS at WISCONSIN 7:00 p.m. EST

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts WISCONSIN by 14

The Badgers, starting a non-Dustin Sherer quarterback and a non-John Clay running back, will lean on the Huskies until they fall over. Every year, there's a team that can't contain the Badgers rushing attack and ends up surrendering about 400 yards on the ground. This won’t quite be that game, but Bielema wins convincingly. Watch for Chandler Harnisch though – he’s the MAC’s Jake Locker, complete with Melrose Place sounding name. As I wrote here:

Huskies quarterback Chandler Harnish can run...and throw...and lead. He proved this in 2008 as A FRESHMAN. Is he the next Dan Lefevour or Tim Hiller, MAC quarterbacks sure to get NFL hype?


LAW BUCKEYE predicts WISCONSIN by 10

Bret Bielema doesn't want your pity, he wants your respect.  Free from illusions of grandeur, this is a Wisconsin team that's ready to start anew.  Although they'll face a respectable opponent in the Huskies, they'll grind a solid ground attack and tight end audibles to victory.


5. No. 5 ALABAMA v. No. 7 VIRGINIA TECH 8:00 p.m. EST, ABC

333_medium259_medium

GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts ALABAMA by 7

This is the matchup of the week. Roll Tide Roll says:

Of course the easy answer -- and in all fairness, perhaps even the correct answer for 2009 -- is that we will try to replicate the basic strategy employed a year ago: physically dominate our opponents in the trenches in the running game, run it right down their throats, and only throw the football when and where we want to. But the problem with that is that there is no guarantee that the pre-requisites needed.

I have enough faith in that gigantic defense residing in Tuscaloosa to believe the Tide can triumph over a Darren Evans lacking VT team. Bama shows its power in ATL.

LAW BUCKEYE predicts ALABAMA by 7

Two weeks ago I would have said the opposite.  But that was before star running back Darren Evans suffered a season-ending injury.  The loss of Evans, and his 1,265 yards of production in 2008 will shackle the Hokies.  Nick Saban and his ahead-of-schedule Crimson Tide will continue their track record of demonizing ACC favorites in season-openers.  Just don't expect this game to look anything like last year's pulverizing of Clemson.

The Hokies deserve to be here, they just will fall a little short.

0 recs  |  Comment 44 comments |

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Hmmm

I’ll take Ok St by 7
 UM by 10
 Illinois by 7
 Wisconsin by 7
 Bama by 3

Black Shoes. Basic Blues. No Name. All Game.

"Everyone has a plan, until they get punched in the mouth."

by Roland86 on Sep 2, 2009 12:14 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

OkSt by 14
Michigan by 4
Illinois by 18
Wisc by 13
VT by 3

by SpartanDan on Sep 2, 2009 12:35 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Well...

Georgia by 4 (28-24)
Michigan by 10 (27-17)
Illinois by 14 (42-28)
Wisco by 14 (31-17)
Bama by 7 (20-13)

by RossWB on Sep 2, 2009 12:37 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

UGA by 3
U of M by 10
Illinois by 14
Wisconsin by 7
Bama by 13

by Estrada on Sep 2, 2009 12:52 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm game....

UGA by 17
Michigan by 14
Mizzou by 3
Wisconsin by 10
Alabama by 10

by Chadnudj on Sep 2, 2009 7:03 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

As for commentary....

1. I cannot trust the Big 12. Potent offenses, sure, but only because they play each others’ defenses. UGA rolls.
2. Eh, why not? Something has to go right for the Wolverines eventually, even if I just threw up a little in my mouth saying that.
3. Illinois still has no defense. Mizzou does. And no one remembers that Blaine Gabbert was one of the highest recruited QBs in the nation. Plus, when you can root for a guy named “Blaine,” you do it….
4. I think Wisconsin is going to be bad this year, but not bad enough to lost to NIU.
5. Again, SEC > anyone, in particular an ACC team, particularly playing in Atlanta.

by Chadnudj on Sep 2, 2009 7:09 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

OH...IO....

So were not picking the Buckeyes whopping up on GAVY… But we have to submit SCUM pics… Ok.. Im going with

OK ST. by 3
W. mich by 3
Ill. by 10
Wis by 10
BAMA by 3

And THE OSU BUCKEYES by 18. We never really blow out anyone except “That School Up North!”

by Powder18 on Sep 2, 2009 7:55 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Sorry about that...

I tend to not concentrate on games that have 20 point spreads…but I assure you, we will be picking the Buckeye game next week.

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 2, 2009 8:05 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good to have you cuz.

Hope to see you at the tailgate this fall.

The Rivalry, Esq.
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Law Buckeye on Sep 3, 2009 12:40 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

If you pick

IL to win by 3, do you get points for the spread if Mizzou wins by 2?

The Rivalry, Esq.
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Bama Hawkeye on Sep 2, 2009 8:07 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

no

You have to pick the winning team correctly and then the margin kicks in.

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 2, 2009 9:14 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

See the official rules...

If you pick the winning team, earn an additional two (2) points for correctly identifying the winning spread by seven points or less.

If you pick the winning team, earn an additional two (2) points for picking a perfect spread.

I added those two clauses because of last year’s confusion. The bottom line is the only way you get any points is to pick the winner. Do that, and you’re eligible for six extra points based on the margin and upset factors.

The Rivalry, Esq.
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Law Buckeye on Sep 2, 2009 9:24 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

So then

why would anyone pick a margin of less than 7 points?

The Rivalry, Esq.
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Bama Hawkeye on Sep 2, 2009 9:25 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well

Picking a margin of 3 is not a bad choice if you’re sure it will be a close game and you want the possibility of picking the exact margin…

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 2, 2009 9:27 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hope Geogia loses but..

UGA by 10
Michigan by 8
Mizou by 12
Wis by 17
Bama by 8

Its a funny story actually.

by Wad on Sep 2, 2009 8:11 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I hate the B12 North

But UGA can’t score w/o their two best offensive weapons. Yet. OSU by 14.

Michigan can do one of two things in this game: fall over as Rich-Rod demoralizes the program. Or unite under their head coach for this game. I say the latter happens, and they fall over the next week. UM by 14.

Mizzou is overrated and always has been. Illinois is the B10 version of Mizzou. Who wins? The team with more experience. Illinois by 17.

Wisky is losing a head coach this year. Bielema heads home to Iowa as a coordinator next year, which is the highest level he should ever attain. Wisky wins by 10.

Alabama will hurt VT. VT couldn’t score even with a healthy RB, and they won’t score with a backup in. ’Bama by 13.

by imadirtyoldman on Sep 2, 2009 9:03 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

If history has taught me anything

it’s that I’m terrible with picks. That being said

Georgia by 3
Michigan by 7
Illinois by 12
Wisconsin by 10
Alabama by 14

It never gets to be easy

by chitownhawkeye on Sep 2, 2009 9:13 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

my predictions

UGA by 6 over OSU
UM by 10 over WMU
U of I by 14 over MU
UW by 14 over NIU
UA by 14 over VPISU (er, VT)

by georgiablue on Sep 2, 2009 9:14 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Predictions sure to go wrong ...

UGA by 3 — Big losses on both teams, but the Big12 just doesn’t play defense.
WMU by 3 — True Fr. QB gets rattled by speed of college game.
Mizzou by 10 — Illini discover they have chemistry/inconsistency issues (again).
UW by 21 — Wisky runs away with this one.
Bama by 14 — VT moves the ball but struggles to put it in the end zone.

by ChiSpartan on Sep 2, 2009 9:29 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

first Western supporter

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 2, 2009 9:46 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not so much a Western supporter, more of a UM un-supporter outright hater.

by ChiSpartan on Sep 2, 2009 1:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

nonethless

First person with the guts to choose WMU, an excellent team with an NFL caliber quarterback…

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 2, 2009 1:21 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, Western scares me this year, especially re: their QB play ...

…as Hiller has the ability to light up a secondary. Not sure whether their late season OOC match-up v. MSU is a good thing or a bad thing for my Spartans. Could be a stumbling block for State, particularly if MSU’s inexperienced DL can’t get a decent pass rush going this year (again) and the defensive backfield turns out to be not as good or deep as advertised.

by ChiSpartan on Sep 3, 2009 9:19 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bourbon Saturday

Alabama is in primetime…

UGA by 7
Michigan by 15
Illinois by 7
Wisconsin by 20
Alabama by 7

The Rivalry, Esq.
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Bama Hawkeye on Sep 2, 2009 9:36 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Interesting Games

I think it’ll shake out:

OSU by 7
Michigan by 21
Missouri by 7
Wisconsin by 17
VT by 7

They took the bar, the whole damn bar!

by recoveringfratguy on Sep 2, 2009 10:08 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Though I'm only decent at picking Big Ten games...

OK State by 13
Michigan by 21
Illinois by 3
Wisconsin by 17 (though it pains me to side w/ Bucky)
Virginia Tech by 4

by gophersports on Sep 2, 2009 10:24 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Ok St by 7
Michiagn by 10
Illinois by 14
Wisconsin by 17
Alabama by 7

by DMAN2303 on Sep 2, 2009 10:26 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Bringin' the Heat Like Hank Poteat

Hank Poteat is slated to be the Cleveland Browns’ nickel back, which is sort of like being…well, does that really need any explanation? Hoping to avoid another “Mistake By the Lake” in 2010, on with the picks…

Georgia by 3 (I like OSU, but SEC D wins this one.)
Michigan by 17 (Michigan is distracted, but no way do they lose to an in state rival.)
Illinois by 3 (It’s a big game, which means there will be jitters. Still, Illini get it done.)
Wisconsin by 17 (I like the Badgers at Camp Randall v. non-conference opponents.)
Alabama by 14 (Unconvinced the ACC actually possesses football teams.)

Courting mediocrity since 1964.

by lakeeriemonstar on Sep 2, 2009 12:00 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Holy 3678467934 picks Batman!

Lots of new faces! Lovin’ it :) I was completely syked to see this post. It means the season has arrived!!! Let’s roll…

Ok State by 6
Michigan by 17
Mizzou by 3
Wisconsin by 14
Bama by 10

Yay :) I love football season!

Joe Paterno is my adopted grandfather.
Nittany Lion Love,
Meredith

by PaternosGranddaughter on Sep 2, 2009 12:19 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

You even have your own bonus...
If you pick the winning team, earn an additional two (2) points for picking a perfect spread (i.e. The PATERNOSGRANDDAUGHTER Bonus)

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 2, 2009 1:11 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh Graham...

Like I didn’t already know that ;)

For those of you who didn’t know, I’m so good at this game, I have my own scoring bonus :D You should be afraid… ;)

Joe Paterno is my adopted grandfather.
Nittany Lion Love,
Meredith

by PaternosGranddaughter on Sep 3, 2009 9:11 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here we go again

UGA by 10
Michigan by 6
Illini by 9
Wis by 17
Bama by 12

"I'm driven by greatness" - Derrick Williams

by HookMania on Sep 2, 2009 5:01 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

aw yeah hook

aw yeah

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 2, 2009 6:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

How it's gonna be me

Ok St by 14
Western by 8
Illy by 7
Wisky by 21
Va Tech by 10

by milesgmsu1 on Sep 2, 2009 5:19 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Oooh ooh I'm in

Georgia by 3
Michigan by 17
Missouri by 7
Wisconsin by 7
Bama by 10

by hmlee on Sep 2, 2009 5:35 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Lets throw a bacon laced hat into the ring...

1.Georgia by 10
2.Michigan by 10 (though I’d gladly be wrong and have THE Michigan loose to a directional Michigan…Big 10 reputation be damned)
3.Illinois by 4
4.Wisconsin by 17
5.Alabama by 14

Put a tarp on that circus! - showtime @ BSD

by bconway6 on Sep 2, 2009 9:24 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Here we go

UGA by 6
Michigan by 6
Illinois by 13
Wisconsin by 10
ROLL TIDE ROLL by 10

by Pete Rossman on Sep 2, 2009 9:46 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Pete

You want to do all the math on these picks?

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 2, 2009 10:42 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

long-time reader, first-time commenter... had to get in on this

OK St by 7
Michigan by 14
Illinois by 10
Wisconsin by 17
Alabama by 3

by SeattleHawkeye on Sep 2, 2009 10:26 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

here we go

Okla St. by 8
Michigan by 14
Illinois by 8
Wisconsin by 17
Alabama by 10

by burncruisin on Sep 3, 2009 12:17 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Failure, thy name is me

OSU over UGA – 10
WMU over Mich – 3
Missouri over IL – 7
Wisconsin over NIU – 21
Alabama over VT – 7

T. Boone extraordinarily excited for this season. What does $250 million buy? He hopes a Big XII championship. Very unlikely – losing to UT, OU and TT (the pirate loves beating the man)

L’affaire RichRod lingers to devastating effect. Mgoblog explodes.

No faith in Zooker. Problem – no faith in Pinkel. Going with cartoon Big XII offense.

Wisconsin fans calm down for a week.

VT is an ACC team – no other reason necessary.

by txhawkeye on Sep 3, 2009 8:36 AM CDT reply actions   1 recs

My picks

Georgia by 9
Michigan by 17
Illinois by 10
Wisconsin by 14
Alabama by 14

by JRose on Sep 3, 2009 9:35 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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