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The Obligatory Predictions Competition - Week 3

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I know, I know.  We're running a few hours behind schedule this week.  Don't forget to to check out last week's scoreboard if you haven't already done so, and get your picks in by 11:00 a.m. Saturday.

1. No. 8 CALIFORNIA at MINNESOTA, 12:00 p.m. EST (9/19), ESPN

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts CALIFORNIA by 14

2 weeks ago, I worry about this pick. Now? Easily done, California dreaming style. Best and Co are running on all cylinders, while Minnesota is scraping by mediocre opponents. That's all fine and well if your goal is the Motor City Bowl, but it ain't gonna fly against the Pac 10 favorite Bears.

LAW BUCKEYE predicts CALIFORNIA by 14

There are all kinds of numbers surrounding this matchup.  Cal has lost four straight games on the road.  Minnesota hasn't beaten a ranked team in its last ten attempts.  Let me suggest there's only one number that matters: The Golden Bear's Jahvid Best is averaging 10 yards per carry.  As soon as Cal establishes the run, they'll take over TCF Bank...


2. MICHIGAN STATE at NOTRE DAME, 3:30 p.m. EST (9/19), NBC

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts NOTRE DAME by 10

I expect to see a whole lot of Kirk Cousins, a whole lot of Jimmy Clausen, and not that much defense. Michigan State is a solid team, the wild card here is ND. Will they come out fired up and vengeful, inspired by a Lou Holtz dressing down for ruining his national championship prediction? Or will they come out haggard and irritated by the national focus on Charlie Weis's questionable playcalling? I say Notre Dame pulls it off as the talented but young Spartan secondary gets picked on.

LAW BUCKEYE predicts NOTRE DAME by 10

I think Scouts sums this one up best when they title their preview: "Irish should get revenge for Michigan loss versus Michigan State."  A week ago I would have given this Michigan State team healthy consideration in this matchup.  But their trouble holding CMU is compounded against a Notre Dame offense averaging 500 yards per game.  It doesn't hurt that if Weis loses this one, he loses his job.  How's that for incentive?

Star-divide

3. ARIZONA at IOWA, 3:30 p.m. EST (9/19), ABC

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts IOWA by 10

Arizona looked fast and prepared against both CMU and Northern Arizona. Iowa is slowly returning to full strength and now features a more varied offensive attack, discussed by BHGP here. Who do I like? Well it's unbecoming of me to keep picking the road dogs, so go Hawks. Oh, please click on the above BHGP link to see a real live Cornfed Iowan standoff in the comment section.

LAW BUCKEYE predicts IOWA by 10

The Hawkeye ground game is getting warmer.  After a questionable opener against Northern Iowa, I predicted that the Hawkeyes would turn it up a notch.  They did, to the tune of a 35-3 pounding of Iowa State in Ames.  Surprisingly, Iowa's golden boy put up a Matt Barkley low completion percentage (52.9%), and threw 2 interceptions to open up the game.  To beat Arizona, and it's turf-turning 503 yards per game offense, Stanzi will need to make better decisions in the pocket.  The good news is, he will, and the Hawkeyes will give the Big Ten its first win against Pac 10 competition.  (Granted, this is only the second game in which series opponents have been fair congeners.)

 

4. No. 19 NEBRASKA at No. 13 VIRGINIA TECH, 3:30 EST (9/17), ABC

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts NEBRASKA by 7

ACC power running against an untested Nebraska D that wilted against good competition last year. Veliociraptor-esque VT defense against (surprise) a powerful Big 12 passing offense. One of the ongoing issues at VT has been Tyrod Taylor's inability to throw accurately or be put in position to succeed in the pass game. I'll go against Vegas here.

LAW BUCKEYE predicts VIRGINIA TECH by 6

Sure, the 'Huskers have been impressive in their first two games -- harvesting 984 yards of offense.  But the Hokies are battle tested, having fought tooth and nail against Alabama in one of my favorite games of this early season.  When it comes to making a defensive statement there are few teams more constant than Frank Beamer's, and when it comes to home field advantage there are few venues more vicious than Lane Stadium.  Virginia Tech has not lost at home to a non-conference foe in 31 games.  I think they add to that total Saturday.


5. FLORIDA STATE at No. 7 BYU, 7:00 EST (9/17)

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GRAHAMFILLER10 predicts BYU by 7

What a matchup. Easily the best matchup to pick for this week. Do you pick the athletic Seminoles, an underperforming team that refuses to guard the crossing route...or the deep route..or the dump off? Or do you pick the Top 10 Cougars, a team that throws the all the aforementioned routes extremely well?

LAW BUCKEYE predicts BYU by 7

You know it's a bad Saturday night when the game you're looking forward to the most isn't televised.  Why does this game matter?  Because BYU is high enough in the BCS standings that they have a legitimate chance of reaching the National Championship if they win out, and the favorites (Texas, USC) suffer a loss.  Do they deserve to be there?  If they don't, it's certainly not for lack of strength of schedule.  The Cougars opened against then No. 3 Oklahoma.  They'll face their second BCS conference opponent (a pre-season favorite to win the ACC) Saturday, and (as the schedule stands), will go on to face two more Top 20 opponents (No. 15 TCU, No. 18 Utah) in Mountain West play.  I think the Cougar's ability to throw carries the day over a Seminole defense that has struggled against the pass.

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Given my record in the first two installments, I shouldn't be this excited to post my picks ...

… but I am, so here we go.

Cal by 7 – It’s not the NFL, but maybe the West Coast team still struggles a little bit when coming East for an early match-up. But they don’t struggle enough to drop this one.

STATE by 10 – Blatant homerism, but I think ND is overrated and I think am desperately hoping Coach D has given the Spartan secondary a swift kick in the posterior.

Iowa by 7 – Pretty much a toss up for me, but maybe the Hawkeyes play some solid defense and are able to do enough on the ground to eek out a win?

VT by 3 – The Huskers have blown out a couple of nobodies, but VT did a little better against ’Bama than I thought they would, so they get the edge here.

BYU by 7 – The Cougars play well and outperform the more talented Seminoles.

Man looks in the abyss, there's nothing staring back at him. At that moment, man finds his character. And that is what keeps him out of the abyss. -- Lou Mannheim, Wall Street

by ChiSpartan on Sep 17, 2009 10:16 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Toss Up is right

Arizona has no history of winning these games, but we don’t really much about this Iowa team…

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 17, 2009 11:26 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

This week is easy

The past two weeks were hard. That’s why I struggled so…

Cal by 14
Notre Dame by 7
Iowa by 9
Va. Tech by 10
Florida State by 7

By the way, I am angry that DirecTV and Versus can’t get their ducks in a row, preventing me from watching this game. I will be furious if the situation isn’t remedied by the time that the puck drops on the hockey season.

The Rivalry, Esq.
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Bama Hawkeye on Sep 17, 2009 10:19 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

DirecTV execs are being assholes. I especially appreciate their statement on the VS channel on the program guide about how they are looking out for me, the customer. The next time they look out for me will be the first.

by txhawkeye on Sep 17, 2009 10:56 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

As much as I love Cal, they won’t beat Minnesota by 14. Cal struggles on the road and they especially struggle with these early games(the game on the West Coast starts at 9AM). They will be lucky to beat Minnesota by a touchdown.

"It ain't over till it's over." - Yogi Berra

by 49er16 on Sep 17, 2009 10:28 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Ahem

Just saying.

The Rivalry, Esq.
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Bama Hawkeye on Sep 21, 2009 2:57 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

No – this week is hard, every week is hard.

1) Cal at Minny – Cal by 17
2) MSU @ ND – ND by 10
3) AZ @ Iowa – Iowa by 3
4) NE @ VT – Tech by 10
5) FSU @ BYU – BYU by 7

by txhawkeye on Sep 17, 2009 10:47 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Coming to you LIVE from Criminal Law...

1. Cal by 10
2. ND by 7
3. Iowa by 3
4. VT by 3
5. BYU by 14

by hmlee on Sep 17, 2009 10:53 AM CDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

Tell Mr. Dudley and Mr. Stephens I say hello.

And tell them next time to at least pack a box of Saltines…

The Rivalry, Esq.
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Law Buckeye on Sep 17, 2009 10:57 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

But..:

Cabin boys are so tasty…

by hmlee on Sep 17, 2009 11:46 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know what's more sad...

Inside legal jokes, or the fact that we’re both not paying attention in class because we’re making them.

The Rivalry, Esq.
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Law Buckeye on Sep 17, 2009 11:59 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's even sadder

When you realize that my criminal law prof doesn’t allow laptops in class, so I was engaging in some under-the-desk iphone subterfuge to post those picks…

by hmlee on Sep 17, 2009 2:21 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's nice

but it will be more impressive when you do that during your client’s cross examination.

The Rivalry, Esq.
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Bama Hawkeye on Sep 17, 2009 2:55 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That puts me to shame

I’m only sitting there playing brick-breaker during depositions.

Though, I am impressed (mortified?) at how we’re arguing over who’s the bigger geek based on what we do in court, etc. to avoid paying attention.

by imadirtyoldman on Sep 17, 2009 4:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

referendum

on our legal system and the people who populate it…for shame

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 17, 2009 5:02 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cal by 20
ND by 14
Iowa by 10
Nebraska by 3
FSU by 3

Ugh, very tough week.

by Bud Elliott on Sep 17, 2009 11:20 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Easy Weekend

Cal by 21
ND by 7
Iowa by 7
Nebraska by 7
BYU by 14

They took the bar, the whole damn bar!

by recoveringfratguy on Sep 17, 2009 11:24 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

By the way

why no Miami (OH) picks on here? Be True to Your School! Or is 90-0 over two games enough to earn the mighty Red Hawks a permanent ban from The Rivalry?

The Rivalry, Esq.
The quintessential Big Ten smoking room.

by Bama Hawkeye on Sep 17, 2009 11:51 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Uh

A kid I was an RA for during his frosh year at Miami is 5th in the nation in punting…Chris DeCeasare…Of course, punting 17 times in two games isn’t actually a good thing, but hey, you gotta be optimistic…

Here are the stats, kids got a good leg.

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 17, 2009 1:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Any relation to Carmela?

Carmela DeCesare, Cleveland native and ex-Playmate of the year (AKA, Mrs. Jeff Garcia).

http://i305.photobucket.com/albums/nn202/theworldofisaac/carmelladecesarewwece9.jpg

(Don’t worry, folks…it’s a “G” rated pick…well, maybe “PG13”…)

As good as this kid’s leg might be, I’m guessing hers are better.

Courting mediocrity since 1964.

by lakeeriemonstar on Sep 17, 2009 3:14 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

is she the one who got in a fight with sexy ex girlfriend?

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 17, 2009 4:45 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yep.

She sure is…

My question here is, what’s so special about Jeff Garcia? The curly red hair/balding combo is one I hadn’t thought would be big with the ladies.

Courting mediocrity since 1964.

by lakeeriemonstar on Sep 18, 2009 1:40 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ugh...

…tough games to pick. Here goes:

Cal by 17 — just not buying into the Gophers.

MSU by 3 — I hate the Domers. I will thus pick against them, even if it’s irrational.

Iowa by 4 — I hate the Hawkeyes, but I’ll let the hatred go and pick them to win a defensive struggle.

Va. Tech by 14 — sorry Nebraska. You’re STILL not ready for a return to glory.

FSU by 3 — upset alert….but I think the FSU speed will kill BYU, even on the road.

by Chadnudj on Sep 17, 2009 12:37 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

eh

Cal by 21
MSU by 7
Iowa by 3
VaTech by 10
BYU by 3

Black Shoes. Basic Blues. No Name. All Game.

"Everyone has a plan, until they get punched in the mouth."

by Roland86 on Sep 17, 2009 1:11 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Picture me Rollin' (says Jahvid Best through the Minnesota defense)

Cal by 20
Notre Dame by 14
Iowa by 10
VT by 2
BYU by 13

No explanations today. You don’t need to hear me pontificate.

by imadirtyoldman on Sep 17, 2009 1:23 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Hm.

Cal by 20
ND by 4
AZ by 7 (everyone is picking IA, gotta make up ground somewhere)
VT by 10
BYU by 10

We are gonna shock them with 5,000 mega watts of raw ROO POWER.

by psuwxman on Sep 17, 2009 1:30 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I am good at espn pickem college addition

But not so good at the Rivalry pickem…

Cal by 20….never trust minnesota
ND by 14….or MSU
IA by 17
VT by 14
BYU by 8

Not many close ones this weekend…especially for the Hawks I hope.

Its a funny story actually.

by Wad on Sep 17, 2009 1:34 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Meh

CAL by 17
ND by 10
IA by 9
VT by 4
BYU by 8

by RossWB on Sep 17, 2009 1:40 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Week 3 Picks

Cal by 24
ND by 20
Iowa by 14
VT by 6
FSU by 7

by JRose on Sep 17, 2009 2:29 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Today, we are all Spartans...

…in that we sit squarely in the middle of the pack. Hoping for better, my picks:

Cal by 17 (Self explanatory.)
MSU by 3 (Dantonio OWNS Charlie Weis. That continues.)
Iowa by 14 (Middling Big Ten > Middling Pac 10.)
VT by 17 (Nebraska needs to prove that they’re a real football school again.)
FSU by 7 (I’d like the BCS bubble to burst as much as anyone, but BYU ain’t got it.)

Courting mediocrity since 1964.

by lakeeriemonstar on Sep 17, 2009 2:32 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

picks

Cal by 14
ND by 7
Iowa by 7
Va Tech by 10
BYU by 7

by DMAN2303 on Sep 17, 2009 3:40 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

yeah, week 3

Cal by 10
Domers by 7
Iowa by 9
Nebraska by 4
BYU by 6

by Jimmy the Chin on Sep 17, 2009 4:40 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

let's see some more improvement

Cal by 14
ND by 10
Iowa by 13
Va Tech by 6
BYU by 4

"I'm driven by greatness" - Derrick Williams

by HookMania on Sep 17, 2009 5:01 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Here are the favorites so far...
BYU 70% or so...no faith in SEC speed (I grouped them in)
ND 75% (Domers unite!?)
Iowa 80% (No faith in a Stoops brother; beware, his teams leave it all on the field)
VT 80% plus (What, no support for a non-option Nebraska team?)
Cali – 100% or so

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 17, 2009 5:07 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Need to step up my game this week

Let’s do it:

Cal by 17
ND by 7
Iowa by 3
VT by 6
BYU by 1

Joe Paterno is my adopted grandfather.
Nittany Lion Love,
Meredith

by PaternosGranddaughter on Sep 17, 2009 7:22 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Let's shake things up a bit...

MN by 3 (yes, THAT just happened, and yes, I’m a homer)
MSU by 10 (I hate the Irish)
Iowa by 10
Nebraska by 7
BYU by 10

Don't sell yourself short Judge, you're a tremendous slouch.

by jerdogg1 on Sep 17, 2009 7:29 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

ha

The Rivalry, Esq.
Big Ten Football: 3 Yards and a Cloud of Field Turf

by grahamfiller10 on Sep 17, 2009 11:04 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

And the descent continues...

Cal by 10
MSU by 7
Iowa by 7
Nebraska by 7
BYU by 14

by Estrada on Sep 17, 2009 10:56 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Cal by 17
MSU by 3 (it’s at South Bend, therefore we win)
Iowa by 21
VT by 9
BYU by 6

by SpartanDan on Sep 17, 2009 11:55 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

need a bounce-back week

California by 17
Notre Dame by 13
Iowa by 14
Virginia Tech by 8
BYU by 14

by burncruisin on Sep 18, 2009 1:36 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

To prove that last week was, in fact, a fluke

Cal by 7
South Bend Community College by 7
Iowa by 7
Virginia Tech by 4
BYU by 3

And, for the record, Hoosiers by 4.

by hoosierdaddynow on Sep 18, 2009 7:16 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Ready for another week

Cal by 13

ND by 1 (Although I have hope that Sparty will pull the game out late. I have no confidence in ND defense)

Iowa by 10

VT by 7

BYU by 10

It never gets to be easy

by chitownhawkeye on Sep 18, 2009 9:39 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Time for me to plummet farther down the leaderboard

Cal by 21 (and I’m a Gopher fan)
ND by 13 (and I hate the Irish…the team, not the people)
Iowa by 3 (and I know nothing about the Wildcats)
Virignia Tech by 10 (and…I’ve got nothing here)
BYU by 14 (and I’m not even Mormon…nor a Seminole for that matter)

by gophersports on Sep 18, 2009 11:50 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

back to back???

Cal by 14
ND by 7
Iowa by 10
VT by 7
BYU by 10

and I will try to write my victory rant from last week soon… was off the grid for much of this week.

by SeattleHawkeye on Sep 18, 2009 5:34 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

ZUG!

Cal by 10
MSU by 10
Iowa by 14
Neb by 3
BYU by 14

Put a tarp on that circus! - showtime @ BSD

by bconway6 on Sep 19, 2009 1:01 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

cal by 14
MSU by 8
Iowa by 10
Va tech by 8
BYU by 8

by milesgmsu1 on Sep 19, 2009 10:53 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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